And so here is 2010, the year we … well…
…yeah I’m still struggling to fill in that one little tag line. Fifteen years ago we had such aspirations and hopes for our technology that we forgot somewhat to actually do it. If Arthur C Clarke was even close to being right, we would have orbital space stations that were publicly accessible, long range manned space missions, all calls would be video calls, we make contact with aliens and, perhaps most shocking, pan am are still in business!
Alas most of this hasn’t happened, we’re still stuck largely where we were at the end of the 1980’s in terms of the actual world we live in. We still drive from A to B, flying is still prohibitively expensive for some and whilst advances have been made in your Television and Telephone, if you took the TV and mobile phone changes out, the most significant change over the last 20 years is the fact we no longer carry around a Sony Walkman cassette player for our music needs.
Of course I am being cynical, there have been a great number of advances in technology, I just can’t help but feel they have been significantly slower than they should have been. I once remember a child in my school, back when I was 10 or even 9 years old, saying “they would probably have flying cars by the time you learn to drive”. Whilst that might have been a bit ambitious for a 7 or 8 year time gap, if you think about it, we all really thought something like that would happen. Remember the Slug concept car? Apparently by 2001 we were all going to be driving these. Homes would be knocked down and rebuilt with new ultra modern, low cost eco friendly buildings with mountains of technology in them.
Fabulous blade runner esq high rise buildings for people rich and poor containing hi tech homes and doors that opened with speech recognition and the whole world would either be covered in a dense smog like in Blade Runner, or as clear as the air inside the dome from Logans Run.
Yet despite this, despite the hope that we would move with the advances of technology, I still come home to a sixty year old house, with the same plugs, the same wiring and even the same door locks as we had then. The technology has advanced, but not quite in the way we’ve hoped. I have a computer sat on my desk, it just happens to be more powerful. I write letters with it and play games, like most people. We did this 20 years ago with the ZX Spectrum or the Atari ST, just now we do it in richer colour and slightly faster. I pick up my iPod instead of a walkman and watch television that comes through a cable instead of an arial. Yes the advances are there, but they are all just, minor upgrades. The same as twenty years ago I could buy a cassette that was 70 or 90 minutes long. The technology is the same, but just, a little bit better, more convenient.
And so this is my problem, on coming into 2010, instead of creating new technology, instead of ploughing through and improving everything we already have, inventing new things and new technologies we’ve bumbled around with silly things. Take climate change for example. We’ve been focusing for years on how to reduce the buildup of climate change by adjusting the things we use in the home, like light bulbs. Instead of perhaps doing that, or even tearing down the old unfriendly things in favour or rebuilding it with clean new eco friendly things and then inventing a machine that cleans the air for us so that the eco change is really reversed. Why I ask, even now are we still not considering blasting things into the sun? The ultimate waste disposal and it provides our sun with fuel?
Oh I know I am being cynical and perhaps even very unfair, but if someone asked me where we would be in ten years time, I would probably say exactly where we are now. Perhaps my phone will be the size of my thumbnail or even implanted into my ear. Maybe there really will be a rapid change in technology so fast that we enter a real space age, that we start entering a massive form of silicon revolution, the same way the industrial revolution of steam changed the world in only a few years. It has happened before and it can happen again, but I have to ask why it hasn’t happened yet.
And so I leave this slightly longer than usual post aimed toward you, the readers. I ask you to be open, and honest, and to think just totally about this subject and whether it is really fair, what your thoughts are on the next year and indeed the next ten years. I invite you as the readers to indulge me in this article or brush it aside as cynicism or nonsense. But never forget, I love the technology we have now and truly admire the work that has been done, and I see huge potential for the technology we have in ways I can’t even begin to describe but I am disappointed, annoyed and even angry, that we have not pushed ourselves as a race to become more than we are and push the boundaries every day, so I ask you the readers to turn around and put me in my place, put me down, put me out, put me up but most of all just to think about the things you have already and what they have done for you.
Indulge me. I’ll be waiting.




I have seen many posts like this before, people complain about how predictions of the future of technology haven’t realised themselves. But ask yourself why they haven’t realised themselves…
On the whole I would say its a mixture of a lack of vision and a lack of perceived need.
Television is still piped to the home through cable because it works, the alternative is to create a vast wireless network which would cost billions (with a B), all so you dont have a cable and its wireless instead? where’s the incentive.
Space stations are cool and great in theory, but wheres the incentive, what do we gain, possible tourism? for a possibly -not in the least guaranteed- lucrative tourism location, industry would first have to shell out the many billions to establish the space station in the first place. Whilst in the meantime we have many tourist locations at home and abroad that need support or they will wither and die.
The problem with technological predictions of the past are that few if any took into consideration the actual human cost of such things, and whether there are better alternatives.
I for one would love to live on the moon, or even a space station – why? because it would be cool. But the engineering required to get us to a point where that’s a reality are so great, that the incentive has got to be greater than ‘oh that would be cool’.
What your asking for is a revolution, and what is happening is evolution. Sure, its not as ground breaking, sure its a longer process, and yes I’m not fond of it either. But its the natural way.
If you want grand designs, you must do more than think big. you must do big.
Jan 05, 2010 @ 12:21 am